Serie A · 2024

Flamengo 1–0 Athletico · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 1–0.

Shots
177
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
0.70.42
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Athletico 1–0. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Athletico): shots 17–7, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 0.7–0.42, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletico's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletico have a visible away split

moderate

Athletico's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.96 corners/matchCornersFlamengo · Athletico● 6.44 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoAthleticoBaseline
Corners5.96 corners/match6.44 corners/match5.02 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots7 shotsFlamengo 17 shots, Athletico 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotFlamengo 5 shots, Athletico 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.7 xG0.42 xGFlamengo 0.7 xG, Athletico 0.42 xG
  • Possession70%30%Flamengo 70%, Athletico 30%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerFlamengo 6 corners, Athletico 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsFlamengo 12 fouls, Athletico 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Flamengo
1Draws
3Athletico
Athletico — Flamengo · Serie A1–1
Flamengo — Athletico · Serie A0–3
Athletico — Flamengo · Serie A2–1
Flamengo — Athletico · Serie A5–0
Athletico — Flamengo · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo27 matchesAthletico26 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/261.04 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed27/261.15 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals27/251.31 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots27/25▲ 15.6 shots/match
5.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/255.12 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession27/2550.5%
5.96 corners/matchCorners27/25● 6.44 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2513.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 30 Sept 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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