PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Grêmio 2–2 Juventude · Serie A

Grêmio

LLWDL
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio and Juventude drew 2–2.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.71.6
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Grêmio and Juventude drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Grêmio – Juventude): shots 11–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.7–1.6, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsGrêmio 11 shots, Juventude 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsGrêmio 3 shots, Juventude 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.6 xGGrêmio 0.7 xG, Juventude 1.6 xG
  • Possession57%43%Grêmio 57%, Juventude 43%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersGrêmio 5 corners, Juventude 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls16 foulsGrêmio 17 fouls, Juventude 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Grêmio
0Draws
1Juventude
Juventude — Grêmio · Serie A3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio34 matchesJuventude34 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.24 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.59 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals34/341.14 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 12.5 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target34/344.38 shots/match
46.3%Possession34/34● 47.6%
5.26 corners/match ●Corners34/344.38 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 Nov 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGrêmioJuventude
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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