PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cruzeiro 1–1 Grêmio · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Grêmio

LWDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro and Grêmio drew 1–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.550.75
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro and Grêmio drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Grêmio): shots 19–9, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.55–0.75, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Grêmio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsCruzeiro 19 shots, Grêmio 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsCruzeiro 3 shots, Grêmio 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG0.75 xGCruzeiro 1.55 xG, Grêmio 0.75 xG
  • Possession61%39%Cruzeiro 61%, Grêmio 39%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerCruzeiro 5 corners, Grêmio 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls6 foulsCruzeiro 16 fouls, Grêmio 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cruzeiro
0Draws
1Grêmio
Grêmio — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–2
Grêmio — Cruzeiro · Serie A3–0
Cruzeiro — Grêmio · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro35 matchesGrêmio35 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored35/351.17 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.29 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.16 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.7 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target35/354.29 shots/match
53% ●Possession35/3546.1%
5.34 corners/match ●Corners35/355.14 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 28 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Grêmio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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