PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3–2 Qingdao Hainiu · Super League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3–2.

Shots
911
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.021.89
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger beat Qingdao Hainiu 3–2. Recorded in this match (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Qingdao Hainiu): shots 9–11, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.02–1.89, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.7% ●PossessionTianjin Jinmen Tiger · Qingdao Hainiu41.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTianjin Jinmen TigerQingdao HainiuBaseline
Possession50.7%41.5%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsTianjin Jinmen Tiger 9 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsTianjin Jinmen Tiger 6 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG1.89 xGTianjin Jinmen Tiger 2.02 xG, Qingdao Hainiu 1.89 xG
  • Possession66%34%Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 66%, Qingdao Hainiu 34%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersTianjin Jinmen Tiger 5 corners, Qingdao Hainiu 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsTianjin Jinmen Tiger 12 fouls, Qingdao Hainiu 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao Hainiu in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger13 matchesQingdao Hainiu13 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.33 xG/match
9.69 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 11.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 3.69 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession13/1341.5%
4.38 corners/match ●Corners13/133.85 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Jun 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTianjin Jinmen TigerQingdao Hainiu
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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