PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0–1 Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang won 0–1.

Shots
236
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
3.60.74
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang beat Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cangzhou Mighty Lions – Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang): shots 23–6, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 3.6–0.74, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots6 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 23 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 6 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.6 xG0.74 xGCangzhou Mighty Lions 3.6 xG, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 0.74 xG
  • Possession51%49%Cangzhou Mighty Lions 51%, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 49%
  • Corners12 corners1 cornerCangzhou Mighty Lions 12 corners, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsCangzhou Mighty Lions 14 fouls, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1Draws
1Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–1
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cangzhou Mighty Lions favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cangzhou Mighty Lions13 matchesHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang13 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.92 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1 goal/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.86 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots13/139.38 shots/match
3.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.08 shots/match
41.8%Possession13/13● 44.6%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners13/133.31 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Jun 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCangzhou Mighty LionsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headCangzhou Mighty Lions — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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