PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Wuhan Three Towns 1–0 Qingdao Hainiu · Super League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wuhan Three Towns won 1–0.

Shots
2714
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
3.070.9
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Qingdao Hainiu 1–0. Recorded in this match (Wuhan Three Towns – Qingdao Hainiu): shots 27–14, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 3.07–0.9, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wuhan Three Towns show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsWuhan Three Towns · Qingdao Hainiu12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWuhan Three TownsQingdao HainiuBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Wuhan Three Towns have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.9% ●PossessionWuhan Three Towns · Qingdao Hainiu42.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWuhan Three TownsQingdao HainiuBaseline
Possession55.9%42.4%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots14 shotsWuhan Three Towns 27 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 14 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsWuhan Three Towns 10 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.07 xG0.9 xGWuhan Three Towns 3.07 xG, Qingdao Hainiu 0.9 xG
  • Possession54%46%Wuhan Three Towns 54%, Qingdao Hainiu 46%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersWuhan Three Towns 4 corners, Qingdao Hainiu 4 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls11 foulsWuhan Three Towns 5 fouls, Qingdao Hainiu 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wuhan Three Towns
0Draws
0Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League0–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wuhan Three Towns favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao Hainiu in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wuhan Three Towns19 matchesQingdao Hainiu19 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.16 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.32 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.44 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/1912.2 shots/match
5.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.89 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession19/1942.4%
4.47 corners/match ●Corners19/193.95 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Jul 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWuhan Three TownsQingdao Hainiu
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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