PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 0–1.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.821.15
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger beat Wuhan Three Towns 1–0. Recorded in this match (Wuhan Three Towns – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger): shots 14–16, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.82–1.15, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wuhan Three Towns show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsWuhan Three Towns · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWuhan Three TownsTianjin Jinmen TigerBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match11 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have a visible away split

moderate

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.15 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.15 shots/match11 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.19 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsWuhan Three Towns 14 shots, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsWuhan Three Towns 3 shots, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG1.15 xGWuhan Three Towns 0.82 xG, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1.15 xG
  • Possession50%50%Wuhan Three Towns 50%, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 50%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersWuhan Three Towns 4 corners, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsWuhan Three Towns 9 fouls, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wuhan Three Towns
1Draws
0Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League1–1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wuhan Three Towns favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wuhan Three Towns26 matchesTianjin Jinmen Tiger26 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.19 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.06 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611 shots/match
5.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.23 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession26/2651.8%
4.58 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.77 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWuhan Three TownsTianjin Jinmen Tiger
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headWuhan Three Towns — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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