PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Shandong Taishan 2–1 Wuhan Three Towns · Super League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Shandong Taishan won 2–1.

Shots
1120
Shots on target
510
Expected goals
0.962.39
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Shandong Taishan beat Wuhan Three Towns 2–1. Recorded in this match (Shandong Taishan – Wuhan Three Towns): shots 11–20, shots on target 5–10, expected goals 0.96–2.39, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Shandong Taishan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Shandong Taishan's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots20 shotsShandong Taishan 11 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 20 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots10 shotsShandong Taishan 5 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG2.39 xGShandong Taishan 0.96 xG, Wuhan Three Towns 2.39 xG
  • Possession35%65%Shandong Taishan 35%, Wuhan Three Towns 65%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersShandong Taishan 1 corner, Wuhan Three Towns 5 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls14 foulsShandong Taishan 22 fouls, Wuhan Three Towns 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Shandong Taishan
3Draws
0Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Shandong Taishan · Super League1–1
Wuhan Three Towns — Shandong Taishan · Super League1–1
Shandong Taishan — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Shandong Taishan favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Wuhan Three Towns in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Shandong Taishan27 matchesWuhan Three Towns27 matches
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.59 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.15 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.65 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 16.4 shots/match
5.22 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 5.7 shots/match
55.4%Possession27/27● 55.5%
6.15 corners/match ●Corners27/274.59 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Sept 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsShandong TaishanWuhan Three Towns
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headShandong Taishan — Wuhan Three Towns
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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