PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0–1 Meizhou Hakka · Super League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Meizhou Hakka won 0–1.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.520.74
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Meizhou Hakka beat Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cangzhou Mighty Lions – Meizhou Hakka): shots 11–18, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.52–0.74, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 11 shots, Meizhou Hakka 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 5 shots, Meizhou Hakka 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG0.74 xGCangzhou Mighty Lions 0.52 xG, Meizhou Hakka 0.74 xG
  • Possession47%53%Cangzhou Mighty Lions 47%, Meizhou Hakka 53%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersCangzhou Mighty Lions 1 corner, Meizhou Hakka 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls18 foulsCangzhou Mighty Lions 9 fouls, Meizhou Hakka 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1Draws
1Meizhou Hakka
Meizhou Hakka — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League2–3
Meizhou Hakka — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League4–1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Meizhou Hakka · Super League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cangzhou Mighty Lions favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Meizhou Hakka in 3 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cangzhou Mighty Lions27 matchesMeizhou Hakka27 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.7 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.27 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target27/273.74 shots/match
42%Possession27/27● 48.4%
4.89 corners/matchCorners27/274.89 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Sept 2023, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCangzhou Mighty LionsMeizhou Hakka
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headCangzhou Mighty Lions — Meizhou Hakka
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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