PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0–1 Qingdao Hainiu · Super League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qingdao Hainiu won 0–1.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
1.121.46
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qingdao Hainiu beat Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cangzhou Mighty Lions – Qingdao Hainiu): shots 11–13, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 1.12–1.46, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Qingdao Hainiu show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCangzhou Mighty Lions · Qingdao Hainiu12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsQingdao HainiuBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match12 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against20.3 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu have recorded the higher season possession share.

34.3%PossessionCangzhou Mighty Lions · Qingdao Hainiu● 42.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsQingdao HainiuBaseline
Possession34.3%42.5%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 11 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 1 shot, Qingdao Hainiu 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.46 xGCangzhou Mighty Lions 1.12 xG, Qingdao Hainiu 1.46 xG
  • Possession50%50%Cangzhou Mighty Lions 50%, Qingdao Hainiu 50%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersCangzhou Mighty Lions 3 corners, Qingdao Hainiu 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsCangzhou Mighty Lions 13 fouls, Qingdao Hainiu 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2Draws
0Qingdao Hainiu
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League0–0
Qingdao Hainiu — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cangzhou Mighty Lions favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao Hainiu in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cangzhou Mighty Lions15 matchesQingdao Hainiu15 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.8 goals/match
2.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.3 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 12 shots/match
3.07 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.07 shots/match
34.3%Possession15/15● 42.5%
3.13 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.33 corners/match
8.87 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jun 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCangzhou Mighty LionsQingdao Hainiu
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headCangzhou Mighty Lions — Qingdao Hainiu
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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