PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Qingdao West Coast 0–1 Wuhan Three Towns · Super League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wuhan Three Towns won 0–1.

Shots
1023
Shots on target
510
Expected goals
0.982.62
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Qingdao West Coast 1–0. Recorded in this match (Qingdao West Coast – Wuhan Three Towns): shots 10–23, shots on target 5–10, expected goals 0.98–2.62, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao West Coast's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao West Coast's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wuhan Three Towns have a visible away split

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Wuhan Three Towns show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsQingdao West Coast · Wuhan Three Towns13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQingdao West CoastWuhan Three TownsBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots23 shotsQingdao West Coast 10 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 23 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots10 shotsQingdao West Coast 5 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG2.62 xGQingdao West Coast 0.98 xG, Wuhan Three Towns 2.62 xG
  • Possession47%53%Qingdao West Coast 47%, Wuhan Three Towns 53%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersQingdao West Coast 2 corners, Wuhan Three Towns 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsQingdao West Coast 12 fouls, Wuhan Three Towns 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qingdao West Coast favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Wuhan Three Towns in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qingdao West Coast15 matchesWuhan Three Towns15 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.27 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.51 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.87 shots/match
47%Possession15/15● 51.1%
3.33 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.33 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQingdao West CoastWuhan Three Towns
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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