PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1–1 Shenzhen Peng City · Super League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Shenzhen Peng City drew 1–1.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.881.08
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Shenzhen Peng City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cangzhou Mighty Lions – Shenzhen Peng City): shots 11–16, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.88–1.08, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Shenzhen Peng City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Shenzhen Peng City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsCangzhou Mighty Lions · Shenzhen Peng City12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsShenzhen Peng CityBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match12 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against20.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Shenzhen Peng City have recorded the higher season possession share.

34.7%PossessionCangzhou Mighty Lions · Shenzhen Peng City● 52.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsShenzhen Peng CityBaseline
Possession34.7%52.1%51.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 11 shots, Shenzhen Peng City 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 3 shots, Shenzhen Peng City 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG1.08 xGCangzhou Mighty Lions 0.88 xG, Shenzhen Peng City 1.08 xG
  • Possession34%66%Cangzhou Mighty Lions 34%, Shenzhen Peng City 66%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersCangzhou Mighty Lions 3 corners, Shenzhen Peng City 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsCangzhou Mighty Lions 13 fouls, Shenzhen Peng City 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1Draws
0Shenzhen Peng City
Shenzhen Peng City — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cangzhou Mighty Lions favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Shenzhen Peng City in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cangzhou Mighty Lions18 matchesShenzhen Peng City18 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181 goal/match
2.22 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.89 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.29 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 12 shots/match
3.06 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 4.17 shots/match
34.7%Possession18/18● 52.1%
3.11 corners/matchCorners18/18● 4.89 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls18/1813 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCangzhou Mighty LionsShenzhen Peng City
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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