PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns · Super League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Wuhan Three Towns drew 1–1.

Shots
46
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.730.71
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Wuhan Three Towns drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cangzhou Mighty Lions – Wuhan Three Towns): shots 4–6, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.73–0.71, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wuhan Three Towns have a visible away split

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Wuhan Three Towns show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCangzhou Mighty Lions · Wuhan Three Towns12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsWuhan Three TownsBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against19.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots6 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 4 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 6 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 1 shot, Wuhan Three Towns 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.71 xGCangzhou Mighty Lions 0.73 xG, Wuhan Three Towns 0.71 xG
  • Possession36%64%Cangzhou Mighty Lions 36%, Wuhan Three Towns 64%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCangzhou Mighty Lions 5 corners, Wuhan Three Towns 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsCangzhou Mighty Lions 12 fouls, Wuhan Three Towns 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0Draws
2Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League2–3
Wuhan Three Towns — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League2–0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League2–1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League0–4
Wuhan Three Towns — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cangzhou Mighty Lions favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Wuhan Three Towns in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cangzhou Mighty Lions19 matchesWuhan Three Towns19 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
2.16 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.35 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 12.6 shots/match
2.95 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.58 shots/match
34.8%Possession19/19● 51.4%
3.21 corners/matchCorners19/19● 4.37 corners/match
9.47 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Jul 2024, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCangzhou Mighty LionsWuhan Three Towns
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headCangzhou Mighty Lions — Wuhan Three Towns
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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