PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Qingdao West Coast 1–1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qingdao West Coast and Cangzhou Mighty Lions drew 1–1.

Shots
88
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.590.64
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qingdao West Coast and Cangzhou Mighty Lions drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Qingdao West Coast – Cangzhou Mighty Lions): shots 8–8, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.59–0.64, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao West Coast's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao West Coast's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Qingdao West Coast show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Qingdao West Coast's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsQingdao West Coast · Cangzhou Mighty Lions9.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQingdao West CoastCangzhou Mighty LionsBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.91 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match19.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Qingdao West Coast have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.4% ●PossessionQingdao West Coast · Cangzhou Mighty Lions36%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricQingdao West CoastCangzhou Mighty LionsBaseline
Possession47.4%36%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsQingdao West Coast 8 shots, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsQingdao West Coast 3 shots, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG0.64 xGQingdao West Coast 0.59 xG, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0.64 xG
  • Possession55%45%Qingdao West Coast 55%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 45%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersQingdao West Coast 2 corners, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsQingdao West Coast 15 fouls, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Qingdao West Coast
0Draws
1Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Qingdao West Coast · Super League3–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qingdao West Coast favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Cangzhou Mighty Lions in 0 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qingdao West Coast22 matchesCangzhou Mighty Lions22 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221 goal/match
2.09 goals/matchGoals allowed22/222.18 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/220.97 xG/match
10.8 shots/match ▲Shots22/229.91 shots/match
3.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/222.86 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession22/2236%
3.86 corners/match ●Corners22/223.18 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls22/229.68 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Aug 2024, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQingdao West CoastCangzhou Mighty Lions
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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