PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Changchun Yatai 1–0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Changchun Yatai won 1–0.

Shots
205
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.470.16
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Changchun Yatai beat Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1–0. Recorded in this match (Changchun Yatai – Cangzhou Mighty Lions): shots 20–5, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.47–0.16, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Changchun Yatai have a visible home split

moderate

Changchun Yatai's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match10.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Changchun Yatai show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Changchun Yatai's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsChangchun Yatai · Cangzhou Mighty Lions10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChangchun YataiCangzhou Mighty LionsBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match10 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match19.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots5 shotsChangchun Yatai 20 shots, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotChangchun Yatai 4 shots, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.16 xGChangchun Yatai 1.47 xG, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0.16 xG
  • Possession50%50%Changchun Yatai 50%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 50%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersChangchun Yatai 5 corners, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsChangchun Yatai 17 fouls, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Changchun Yatai
0Draws
2Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–0
Changchun Yatai — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League3–1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–4
Changchun Yatai — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League0–2
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Changchun Yatai · Super League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Changchun Yatai favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cangzhou Mighty Lions in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Changchun Yatai21 matchesCangzhou Mighty Lions21 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211 goal/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/212.24 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.98 xG/match
10.8 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110 shots/match
3.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/212.81 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession21/2135.5%
3.52 corners/match ●Corners21/213.14 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls21/219.57 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jul 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChangchun YataiCangzhou Mighty Lions
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headChangchun Yatai — Cangzhou Mighty Lions
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required