PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Meizhou Hakka 2–1 Changchun Yatai · Super League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Meizhou Hakka won 2–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.940.9
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Meizhou Hakka beat Changchun Yatai 2–1. Recorded in this match (Meizhou Hakka – Changchun Yatai): shots 15–12, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.94–0.9, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Meizhou Hakka's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Meizhou Hakka's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsMeizhou Hakka 15 shots, Changchun Yatai 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotMeizhou Hakka 8 shots, Changchun Yatai 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.94 xG0.9 xGMeizhou Hakka 1.94 xG, Changchun Yatai 0.9 xG
  • Possession37%63%Meizhou Hakka 37%, Changchun Yatai 63%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersMeizhou Hakka 2 corners, Changchun Yatai 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls20 foulsMeizhou Hakka 14 fouls, Changchun Yatai 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Meizhou Hakka
0Draws
1Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai — Meizhou Hakka · Super League0–1
Meizhou Hakka — Changchun Yatai · Super League4–2
Changchun Yatai — Meizhou Hakka · Super League2–4
Meizhou Hakka — Changchun Yatai · Super League1–0
Changchun Yatai — Meizhou Hakka · Super League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Meizhou Hakka favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Changchun Yatai in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Meizhou Hakka24 matchesChangchun Yatai24 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.31 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots24/2410.4 shots/match
3.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.29 shots/match
43%Possession24/24● 48.5%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners24/243.54 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Aug 2024, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMeizhou HakkaChangchun Yatai
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headMeizhou Hakka — Changchun Yatai
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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