PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Changchun Yatai 2–0 Wuhan Three Towns · Super League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Changchun Yatai won 2–0.

Shots
612
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.520.75
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Changchun Yatai beat Wuhan Three Towns 2–0. Recorded in this match (Changchun Yatai – Wuhan Three Towns): shots 6–12, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.52–0.75, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wuhan Three Towns have a visible away split

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.91 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.91 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Wuhan Three Towns's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wuhan Three Towns's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Changchun Yatai show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Changchun Yatai's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsChangchun Yatai · Wuhan Three Towns12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChangchun YataiWuhan Three TownsBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots12 shotsChangchun Yatai 6 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsChangchun Yatai 2 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG0.75 xGChangchun Yatai 0.52 xG, Wuhan Three Towns 0.75 xG
  • Possession38%62%Changchun Yatai 38%, Wuhan Three Towns 62%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersChangchun Yatai 2 corners, Wuhan Three Towns 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsChangchun Yatai 15 fouls, Wuhan Three Towns 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Changchun Yatai
1Draws
3Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Changchun Yatai · Super League0–0
Changchun Yatai — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League3–4
Wuhan Three Towns — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–1
Wuhan Three Towns — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–3
Changchun Yatai — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Changchun Yatai favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Wuhan Three Towns in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Changchun Yatai23 matchesWuhan Three Towns23 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.22 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.28 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.43 shots/match
47.9%Possession23/23● 51.1%
3.43 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.57 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Aug 2024, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChangchun YataiWuhan Three Towns
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headChangchun Yatai — Wuhan Three Towns
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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