PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Qingdao West Coast 2–2 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qingdao West Coast and Chengdu Rongcheng drew 2–2.

Shots
618
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.221.27
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qingdao West Coast and Chengdu Rongcheng drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Qingdao West Coast – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 6–18, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.22–1.27, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao West Coast's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao West Coast's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Qingdao West Coast show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Qingdao West Coast's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsQingdao West Coast · Chengdu Rongcheng17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQingdao West CoastChengdu RongchengBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match8.61 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.1%PossessionQingdao West Coast · Chengdu Rongcheng● 55%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricQingdao West CoastChengdu RongchengBaseline
Possession46.1%55%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots18 shotsQingdao West Coast 6 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsQingdao West Coast 2 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG1.27 xGQingdao West Coast 1.22 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 1.27 xG
  • Possession31%69%Qingdao West Coast 31%, Chengdu Rongcheng 69%
  • Corners0 corners7 cornersQingdao West Coast 0 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls19 foulsQingdao West Coast 18 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Qingdao West Coast
2Draws
1Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng — Qingdao West Coast · Super League1–1
Qingdao West Coast — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–1
Chengdu Rongcheng — Qingdao West Coast · Super League7–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qingdao West Coast favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qingdao West Coast28 matchesChengdu Rongcheng28 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 2.07 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 2.35 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 17.4 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 6.39 shots/match
46.1%Possession28/28● 55%
4.21 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.96 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2814.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQingdao West CoastChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headQingdao West Coast — Chengdu Rongcheng
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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