PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Chengdu Rongcheng 1–2 Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang won 1–2.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.241.14
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang beat Chengdu Rongcheng 2–1. Recorded in this match (Chengdu Rongcheng – Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang): shots 20–10, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.24–1.14, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.14 corners/match ●CornersChengdu Rongcheng · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang5.93 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Corners6.14 corners/match5.93 corners/match4.47 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chengdu Rongcheng show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Chengdu Rongcheng's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsChengdu Rongcheng · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against8.66 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 20 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 7 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG1.14 xGChengdu Rongcheng 1.24 xG, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 1.14 xG
  • Possession57%43%Chengdu Rongcheng 57%, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 43%
  • Corners11 corners5 cornersChengdu Rongcheng 11 corners, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls23 foulsChengdu Rongcheng 20 fouls, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 23 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chengdu Rongcheng
1Draws
2Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League3–2
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League2–0
Chengdu Rongcheng — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League4–2
Chengdu Rongcheng — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League2–0
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chengdu Rongcheng favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chengdu Rongcheng29 matchesHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang29 matches
2.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.76 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.62 goals/match
2.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.93 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/2914.3 shots/match
6.41 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.79 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession29/2951.9%
6.14 corners/match ●Corners29/295.93 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls29/2814.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Oct 2025, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChengdu RongchengHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headChengdu Rongcheng — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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