PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Zenit St. Petersburg 2–1 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 2–1.

Shots
196
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.760.99
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat CSKA Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – CSKA Moscow): shots 19–6, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.76–0.99, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zenit St. Petersburg have a visible home split

weak

Zenit St. Petersburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match15 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CSKA Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CSKA Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · CSKA Moscow15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgCSKA MoscowBaseline
Shots15 shots/match15.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against7.6 shots/match13 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.6% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · CSKA Moscow46%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgCSKA MoscowBaseline
Possession61.6%46%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 19 shots, CSKA Moscow 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotZenit St. Petersburg 8 shots, CSKA Moscow 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.76 xG0.99 xGZenit St. Petersburg 1.76 xG, CSKA Moscow 0.99 xG
  • Possession61%39%Zenit St. Petersburg 61%, CSKA Moscow 39%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 7 corners, CSKA Moscow 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls, CSKA Moscow 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg5 matchesCSKA Moscow5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.4 goals/match
0.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51 goal/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.98 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 15.8 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match
61.6% ●Possession5/546%
5.4 corners/match ●Corners5/52.6 corners/match
6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Aug 2022, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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