PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Orenburg 1–0 Torpedo Moskva · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Orenburg won 1–0.

Shots
306
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
2.870.43
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Orenburg beat Torpedo Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (Orenburg – Torpedo Moscow): shots 30–6, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 2.87–0.43, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Orenburg have a visible home split

weak

Orenburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24 shots/match17.6 shots/match14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Orenburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Orenburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsOrenburg · Torpedo Moscow11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOrenburgTorpedo MoscowBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match14.8 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots30 shots6 shotsOrenburg 30 shots, Torpedo Moskva 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotOrenburg 9 shots, Torpedo Moskva 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.87 xG0.43 xGOrenburg 2.87 xG, Torpedo Moskva 0.43 xG
  • Possession55%45%Orenburg 55%, Torpedo Moskva 45%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersOrenburg 9 corners, Torpedo Moskva 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsOrenburg 12 fouls, Torpedo Moskva 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orenburg favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Torpedo Moskva in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orenburg5 matchesTorpedo Moskva5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.99 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession5/546.2%
6.6 corners/match ●Corners5/53.6 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Aug 2022, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOrenburgTorpedo Moskva
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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