PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Spartak Moscow 5–2 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

5–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Spartak Moscow won 5–2.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.132.46
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Spartak Moscow beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–2. Recorded in this match (FC Spartak Moscow – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 14–14, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.13–2.46, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsFC Spartak Moscow 14 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsFC Spartak Moscow 5 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG2.46 xGFC Spartak Moscow 1.13 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2.46 xG
  • Possession59%41%FC Spartak Moscow 59%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 41%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersFC Spartak Moscow 3 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsFC Spartak Moscow 9 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Spartak Moscow favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Spartak Moscow12 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara12 matches
2.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121 goal/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.58 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/101.85 xG/match
18.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/1214.8 shots/match
6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/125.42 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession12/1248.3%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners12/125 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/127.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Oct 2022, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Spartak MoscowKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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