PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Fakel Voronezh 1–1 FC Khimki · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh and FC Khimki drew 1–1.

Shots
158
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.461.31
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh and FC Khimki drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – FC Khimki): shots 15–8, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.46–1.31, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Khimki's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Khimki's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Khimki have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionFakel Voronezh · FC Khimki● 52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFakel VoronezhFC KhimkiBaseline
Possession42.1%52%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsFakel Voronezh 15 shots, FC Khimki 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsFakel Voronezh 2 shots, FC Khimki 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG1.31 xGFakel Voronezh 1.46 xG, FC Khimki 1.31 xG
  • Possession56%44%Fakel Voronezh 56%, FC Khimki 44%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersFakel Voronezh 5 corners, FC Khimki 3 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls17 foulsFakel Voronezh 23 fouls, FC Khimki 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fakel Voronezh
1Draws
0FC Khimki
FC Khimki — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Khimki in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh18 matchesFC Khimki18 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.94 goals/match
1.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/182.06 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/161.19 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.5 shots/match
42.1%Possession18/18● 52%
4.06 corners/matchCorners18/18● 4.11 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Mar 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhFC Khimki
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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