PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Rostov 2–1 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 2–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.83.36
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 10–15, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.8–3.36, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Rostov have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.5% ●PossessionFC Rostov · Pari Nizhny Novgorod43.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC RostovPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Possession52.5%43.3%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsFC Rostov 10 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsFC Rostov 5 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG3.36 xGFC Rostov 1.8 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 3.36 xG
  • Possession65%35%FC Rostov 65%, Nizhny Novgorod 35%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersFC Rostov 2 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsFC Rostov 9 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Rostov
0Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — FC Rostov · Premier League3–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov19 matchesNizhny Novgorod19 matches
1.84 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.21 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.79 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.15 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots19/1910.5 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.37 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession19/1943.3%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners19/193.53 corners/match
8.74 fouls/matchFouls19/1912 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Mar 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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