PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 Orenburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Orenburg drew 1–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.781.2
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Orenburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Orenburg): shots 17–13, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.78–1.2, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Orenburg have a visible away split

strong

Orenburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match16.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Krylya Sovetov Samara show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsKrylya Sovetov Samara · Orenburg16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraOrenburgBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match16.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match15.1 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 17 shots, Orenburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 shots, Orenburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG1.2 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 1.78 xG, Orenburg 1.2 xG
  • Possession51%49%Krylya Sovetov Samara 51%, Orenburg 49%
  • Corners13 corners2 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 13 corners, Orenburg 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 6 fouls, Orenburg 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
0Orenburg
Orenburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara21 matchesOrenburg21 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.95 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.95 goals/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.95 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 16.6 shots/match
5.76 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 6.33 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession21/2146.8%
5.38 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.48 corners/match
8.38 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Apr 2023, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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