PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

CSKA Moscow 2–1 Orenburg · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 2–1.

Shots
179
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.70.39
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Orenburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Orenburg): shots 17–9, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.7–0.39, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Orenburg have a visible away split

strong

Orenburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.85 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsCSKA Moscow 17 shots, Orenburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsCSKA Moscow 7 shots, Orenburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG0.39 xGCSKA Moscow 1.7 xG, Orenburg 0.39 xG
  • Possession50%50%CSKA Moscow 50%, Orenburg 50%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersCSKA Moscow 4 corners, Orenburg 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsCSKA Moscow 7 fouls, Orenburg 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CSKA Moscow
1Draws
0Orenburg
Orenburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow26 matchesOrenburg26 matches
1.85 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.88 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.92 goals/match
1.91 xG/matchExpected goals25/231.87 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 16.4 shots/match
5.46 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 6.08 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession26/2648.3%
5.23 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.69 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 May 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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