PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Zenit St. Petersburg 2–3 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 2–3.

Shots
156
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.331.75
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Zenit St. Petersburg 3–2. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Dynamo Moscow): shots 15–6, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.33–1.75, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Dynamo Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Dynamo Moscow8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgDynamo MoscowBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match8.67 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

64% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Dynamo Moscow42.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgDynamo MoscowBaseline
Possession64%42.7%51.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 15 shots, Dynamo Moscow 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 5 shots, Dynamo Moscow 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG1.75 xGZenit St. Petersburg 1.33 xG, Dynamo Moscow 1.75 xG
  • Possession68%32%Zenit St. Petersburg 68%, Dynamo Moscow 32%
  • Corners13 corners4 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 13 corners, Dynamo Moscow 4 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls10 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 4 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
0Dynamo Moscow
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League3–1
Dynamo Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg3 matchesDynamo Moscow3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.5 xG/match
10.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/38.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4 shots/match
64% ●Possession3/342.7%
9 corners/match ●Corners3/33.67 corners/match
7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Aug 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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