PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Baltika Kaliningrad 0–1 Ural Yekaterinburg · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ural Yekaterinburg won 0–1.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.931.74
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ural Yekaterinburg beat Baltika Kaliningrad 1–0. Recorded in this match (Baltika Kaliningrad – Ural Yekaterinburg): shots 18–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.93–1.74, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Baltika Kaliningrad have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.8% ●PossessionBaltika Kaliningrad · Ural Yekaterinburg40.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBaltika KaliningradUral YekaterinburgBaseline
Possession49.8%40.4%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 18 shots, Ural Yekaterinburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 6 shots, Ural Yekaterinburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.93 xG1.74 xGBaltika Kaliningrad 1.93 xG, Ural Yekaterinburg 1.74 xG
  • Possession55%45%Baltika Kaliningrad 55%, Ural Yekaterinburg 45%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersBaltika Kaliningrad 7 corners, Ural Yekaterinburg 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsBaltika Kaliningrad 9 fouls, Ural Yekaterinburg 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Baltika Kaliningrad favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ural Yekaterinburg in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Baltika Kaliningrad5 matchesUral Yekaterinburg5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.84 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession5/540.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.4 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBaltika KaliningradUral Yekaterinburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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