PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FC Rostov 1–5 FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League

1–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Spartak Moscow won 1–5.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.032.73
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Spartak Moscow beat FC Rostov 5–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – FC Spartak Moscow): shots 15–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.03–2.73, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsFC Rostov 15 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsFC Rostov 3 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG2.73 xGFC Rostov 1.03 xG, FC Spartak Moscow 2.73 xG
  • Possession54%46%FC Rostov 54%, FC Spartak Moscow 46%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersFC Rostov 9 corners, FC Spartak Moscow 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsFC Rostov 16 fouls, FC Spartak Moscow 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Rostov
1Draws
1FC Spartak Moscow
FC Spartak Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League2–1
FC Spartak Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League1–1
FC Rostov — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Spartak Moscow in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov24 matchesFC Spartak Moscow24 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.42 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.39 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots24/2314.4 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target24/23▲ 5.3 shots/match
54.2%Possession24/23● 55.6%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners24/235.35 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2312.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Apr 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovFC Spartak Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Rostov — FC Spartak Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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