Premier League · 2023

FC Rostov 2–1 Orenburg · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 2–1.

Shots
2311
Shots on target
74
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Orenburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Orenburg): shots 23–11, shots on target 7–4, possession 65%–35%, corners 9–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Rostov show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Rostov's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Rostov · Orenburg13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC RostovOrenburgBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots11 shotsFC Rostov 23 shots, Orenburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsFC Rostov 7 shots, Orenburg 4 shots
  • Possession65%35%FC Rostov 65%, Orenburg 35%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersFC Rostov 9 corners, Orenburg 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsFC Rostov 16 fouls, Orenburg 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Rostov
2Draws
0Orenburg
Orenburg — FC Rostov · Premier League1–1
Orenburg — FC Rostov · Premier League2–2
FC Rostov — Orenburg · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov26 matchesOrenburg26 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.12 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/251.48 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2613.1 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.27 shots/match
54.4% ●Possession26/2653.7%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners26/265.27 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Apr 2024, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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