PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

CSKA Moscow 0–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 0–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.871.05
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat CSKA Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 19–9, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.87–1.05, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zenit St. Petersburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.38 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsCSKA Moscow 19 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsCSKA Moscow 1 shot, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.05 xGCSKA Moscow 0.87 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 1.05 xG
  • Possession46%54%CSKA Moscow 46%, Zenit St. Petersburg 54%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersCSKA Moscow 9 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsCSKA Moscow 13 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2CSKA Moscow
1Draws
1Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–1
CSKA Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–1
CSKA Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 4 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow8 matchesZenit St. Petersburg8 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.38 goals/match
0.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.13 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.75 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/512 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 6 shots/match
45%Possession4/5● 56.6%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners4/54.4 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/510 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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