PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Akron Togliatti 2–5 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

2–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 2–5.

Shots
923
Shots on target
413
Expected goals
2.013.52
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Akron Togliatti 5–2. Recorded in this match (Akron Togliatti – FK Krasnodar): shots 9–23, shots on target 4–13, expected goals 2.01–3.52, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FK Krasnodar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FK Krasnodar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAkron Togliatti · FK Krasnodar17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAkron TogliattiFK KrasnodarBaseline
Shots12 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match10.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots23 shotsAkron Togliatti 9 shots, FK Krasnodar 23 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots13 shotsAkron Togliatti 4 shots, FK Krasnodar 13 shots
  • Expected goals2.01 xG3.52 xGAkron Togliatti 2.01 xG, FK Krasnodar 3.52 xG
  • Possession41%59%Akron Togliatti 41%, FK Krasnodar 59%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersAkron Togliatti 2 corners, FK Krasnodar 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsAkron Togliatti 9 fouls, FK Krasnodar 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akron Togliatti favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akron Togliatti9 matchesFK Krasnodar9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.78 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.56 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals6/8▲ 2.25 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots6/8▲ 17.4 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/8▲ 6 shots/match
50%Possession6/8● 56.8%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/8● 4.75 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/810.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkron TogliattiFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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