PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Akron Togliatti 2–2 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akron Togliatti and Nizhny Novgorod drew 2–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: akron Togliatti's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Akron Togliatti's recent record differs from the season

weak

Akron Togliatti's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akron Togliatti favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akron Togliatti11 matchesNizhny Novgorod11 matches
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111 goal/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.91 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/80.8 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/87.38 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/82.13 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession7/838.8%
3.86 corners/match ●Corners7/82.63 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/813.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkron TogliattiNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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