PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 0–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.850.89
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0. Recorded in this match (Dinamo Makhachkala – CSKA Moscow): shots 14–7, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.85–0.89, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsDinamo Makhachkala 14 shots, CSKA Moscow 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsDinamo Makhachkala 2 shots, CSKA Moscow 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.89 xGDinamo Makhachkala 0.85 xG, CSKA Moscow 0.89 xG
  • Possession46%54%Dinamo Makhachkala 46%, CSKA Moscow 54%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerDinamo Makhachkala 4 corners, CSKA Moscow 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsDinamo Makhachkala 11 fouls, CSKA Moscow 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dinamo Makhachkala favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dinamo Makhachkala12 matchesCSKA Moscow12 matches
0.42 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.58 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals9/7▲ 1.58 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots9/7▲ 13.3 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target9/7▲ 5.14 shots/match
41.2%Possession9/7● 49.9%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners9/73.71 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls9/710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDinamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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