PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow and Zenit St. Petersburg drew 1–1.

Shots
610
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.441.06
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow and Zenit St. Petersburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 6–10, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.44–1.06, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots10 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 6 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 5 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG1.06 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.44 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 1.06 xG
  • Possession30%70%Lokomotiv Moscow 30%, Zenit St. Petersburg 70%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 2 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls10 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 18 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lokomotiv Moscow
1Draws
2Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League3–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–2
Lokomotiv Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–2
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow23 matchesZenit St. Petersburg23 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.91 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.57 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.69 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots17/1413.6 shots/match
5.53 shots/matchShots on target17/145.36 shots/match
47.5%Possession17/14● 61.7%
5.06 corners/match ●Corners17/145 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls17/149.29 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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