Premier League · 2024

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–3 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 1–3.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.41.68
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Dynamo Moscow): shots 12–15, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.4–1.68, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Krylya Sovetov Samara have a visible home split

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 12 shots, Dynamo Moscow 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 1 shot, Dynamo Moscow 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG1.68 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 0.4 xG, Dynamo Moscow 1.68 xG
  • Possession61%39%Krylya Sovetov Samara 61%, Dynamo Moscow 39%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 8 corners, Dynamo Moscow 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls5 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 12 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 5 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Krylya Sovetov Samara
1Draws
4Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–0
Dynamo Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League4–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League3–3
Dynamo Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–0
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara27 matchesDynamo Moscow27 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 2.11 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.72 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots20/19▲ 16.1 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target20/19▲ 6.32 shots/match
49.5%Possession20/19● 53.5%
4.9 corners/matchCorners20/19● 5.68 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls20/1911.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 5 May 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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