PitchMath
UEFA Conference League · 2026

Panathinaikos 1–1 FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · UEFA Conference League

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Panathinaikos and FC CSKA 1948 Sofia drew 1–1.

Shots
1419
Shots on target
52
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Panathinaikos and FC CSKA 1948 Sofia drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Panathinaikos – FC CSKA 1948 Sofia): shots 14–19, shots on target 5–2, possession 69%–31%, corners 8–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots19 shotsPanathinaikos 14 shots, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 19 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsPanathinaikos 5 shots, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 shots
  • Possession69%31%Panathinaikos 69%, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 31%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersPanathinaikos 8 corners, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsPanathinaikos 9 fouls, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardPanathinaikos 1 card, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 1 card
  • Passes637 passes279 passesPanathinaikos 637 passes, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 279 passes
  • Pass accuracy89%71.7%Panathinaikos 89%, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 71.7%
  • Shots inside box8 shots11 shotsPanathinaikos 8 shots, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks7 blocksPanathinaikos 6 blocks, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesPanathinaikos 1 save, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesPanathinaikos 2 offsides, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adriano Jagušić · Panathinaikos · 5′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedEtienne Camara · Panathinaikos · 6′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJules Meyer · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 19′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Panathinaikos · 26′ · 0.00 xG · on targetGeorgi Rusev · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 27′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Maciel · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 29′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHéctor Cuellar · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 29′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAtanas Iliev · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 29′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHéctor Cuellar · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 31′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Maciel · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMoataz Zemzemi · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 50′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGeorgi Rusev · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 54′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSantino Andino · Panathinaikos · 59′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedElmin Rastoder · Panathinaikos · 76′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diallo · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 81′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOgnjen Gašević · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 82′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMoataz Zemzemi · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElmin Rastoder · Panathinaikos · 46′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFacundo Pellistri · Panathinaikos · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Jagušić · Panathinaikos · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGeorgi Rusev · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 58′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSantino Andino · Panathinaikos · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndre Hoffmann · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElmin Rastoder · Panathinaikos · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVicente Taborda · Panathinaikos · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diallo · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdam Gnezda Čerin · Panathinaikos · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAtanas Iliev · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Jagušić · Panathinaikos · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLasha Dvali · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Jagušić · Panathinaikos · 21′ · 0.10 xG · goalGeorgi Rusev · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 31′ · 0.10 xG · goalMamadou Diallo · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 86′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Panathinaikos: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.20 xG. FC CSKA 1948 Sofia: 19 shots, 2 on target, 0.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Adriano Jagušić · Panathinaikos · 21′Georgi Rusev · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Panathinaikos 0.20 xG · FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 0.32 xG.

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Panathinaikos1 matches
  • FC CSKA 1948 Sofia1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Panathinaikos

Competition
UEFA Europa League
Season
2025/26
Sample
16 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
20 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.06 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.06 goals/match
  • Expected goals0.31 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.91 xG/match
  • Shots10.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.38 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.69 shots/match
  • Possession43.4%
  • Corners4.5 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.88 corners/match
  • Cards2.93 cards/match
  • Fouls9.19 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency38%
  • Scoring frequency69%

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Aug 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPanathinaikosFC CSKA 1948 Sofia
CompetitionUEFA Conference League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this