PitchMath
UEFA Conference League · 2026

Paide 1–4 Rapid Vienna · UEFA Conference League

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rapid Vienna won 1–4.

Shots
823
Shots on target
28
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rapid Vienna beat Paide 4–1. Recorded in this match (Paide – Rapid Vienna): shots 8–23, shots on target 2–8, possession 26%–74%, corners 4–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots23 shotsPaide 8 shots, Rapid Vienna 23 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsPaide 2 shots, Rapid Vienna 8 shots
  • Possession26%74%Paide 26%, Rapid Vienna 74%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersPaide 4 corners, Rapid Vienna 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsPaide 13 fouls, Rapid Vienna 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardPaide 1 card, Rapid Vienna 1 card
  • Passes255 passes743 passesPaide 255 passes, Rapid Vienna 743 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.4%92.3%Paide 78.4%, Rapid Vienna 92.3%
  • Shots inside box6 shots17 shotsPaide 6 shots, Rapid Vienna 17 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksPaide 3 blocks, Rapid Vienna 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 savePaide 4 saves, Rapid Vienna 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsidePaide 0 offsides, Rapid Vienna 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tonni Adamsen · Rapid Vienna · 22′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTobias Fjeld Gulliksen · Rapid Vienna · 23′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOskar Hoim · Paide · 25′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Cabral · Paide · 25′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSerge-Philippe Raux-Yao · Rapid Vienna · 38′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTobias Fjeld Gulliksen · Rapid Vienna · 62′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Seidl · Rapid Vienna · 68′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedPa Modou Sohna · Paide · 73′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Seidl · Rapid Vienna · 79′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTonni Adamsen · Rapid Vienna · 79′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNikolaus Wurmbrand · Rapid Vienna · 51′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarco Tilio · Rapid Vienna · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikolaus Wurmbrand · Rapid Vienna · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Demir · Rapid Vienna · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTonni Adamsen · Rapid Vienna · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYusuf Demir · Rapid Vienna · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarco Tilio · Rapid Vienna · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdourahman Badamosi · Paide · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNenad Cvetković · Rapid Vienna · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHenri Anier · Paide · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Demir · Rapid Vienna · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Cabral · Paide · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarco Tilio · Rapid Vienna · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoulaye Haïdara · Rapid Vienna · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdourahman Badamosi · Paide · 43′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDaniel Luts · Paide · 41′ · 0.10 xG · goalMoulaye Haïdara · Rapid Vienna · 83′ · 0.10 xG · goalPetter Nosakhare Dahl · Rapid Vienna · 85′ · 0.10 xG · goalMoulaye Haïdara · Rapid Vienna · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalBendegúz Bolla · Rapid Vienna · 5′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paide: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.31 xG. Rapid Vienna: 22 shots, 8 on target, 1.31 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Daniel Luts · Paide · 41′Bendegúz Bolla · Rapid Vienna · 5′Moulaye Haïdara · Rapid Vienna · 83′Petter Nosakhare Dahl · Rapid Vienna · 85′Moulaye Haïdara · Rapid Vienna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paide 0.31 xG · Rapid Vienna 1.31 xG.

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Paide1 matches
  • Rapid Vienna1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Paide

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Rapid Vienna

Competition
UEFA Conference League
Season
2025/26
Sample
12 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
27 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.33 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.83 goals/match
  • Shots14.6 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.9 shots/match
  • Possession52.9%
  • Corners5.3 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.3 corners/match
  • Cards2.3 cards/match
  • Fouls14.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency17%
  • Scoring frequency75%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPaideRapid Vienna
CompetitionUEFA Conference League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this