PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Estoril Praia 1–1 Famalicão · Primeira Liga

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Estoril Praia and Famalicão drew 1–1.

Shots
146
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.061.47
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estoril Praia and Famalicão drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Estoril Praia – Famalicão): shots 14–6, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.06–1.47, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsEstoril Praia 14 shots, Famalicão 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsEstoril Praia 3 shots, Famalicão 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG1.47 xGEstoril Praia 1.06 xG, Famalicão 1.47 xG
  • Possession50%50%Estoril Praia 50%, Famalicão 50%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersEstoril Praia 7 corners, Famalicão 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsEstoril Praia 12 fouls, Famalicão 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsEstoril Praia 1 card, Famalicão 2 cards
  • Passes429 passes433 passesEstoril Praia 429 passes, Famalicão 433 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.9%83.6%Estoril Praia 83.9%, Famalicão 83.6%
  • Shots inside box10 shots4 shotsEstoril Praia 10 shots, Famalicão 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockEstoril Praia 3 blocks, Famalicão 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves2 savesEstoril Praia 0 saves, Famalicão 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideEstoril Praia 3 offsides, Famalicão 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antef Tsoungui · Estoril Praia · 6′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJoão Carvalho · Estoril Praia · 16′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJoão Carvalho · Estoril Praia · 20′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFernando Medrano · Estoril Praia · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Beney · Famalicão · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Van De Looi · Famalicão · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafik Guitane · Estoril Praia · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Lacximicant · Estoril Praia · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndré Lacximicant · Estoril Praia · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndré Lacximicant · Estoril Praia · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Sierra Arnal · Estoril Praia · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedXeka · Estoril Praia · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedXeka · Estoril Praia · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Famalicão · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Sierra Arnal · Estoril Praia · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGil Dias · Famalicão · 32′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJoão Carvalho · Estoril Praia · 12′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedUmar Abubakar · Famalicão · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Estoril Praia · 72′ · 0.37 xG · goalGeorgios Koutsias · Famalicão · 32′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estoril Praia: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.00 xG. Famalicão: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yanis Begraoui · Estoril Praia · 72′Georgios Koutsias · Famalicão · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estoril Praia 1.00 xG · Famalicão 1.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Estoril Praia
0Draws
4Famalicão
Estoril Praia — Famalicão · Primeira Liga0–1
Famalicão — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga4–0
Estoril Praia — Famalicão · Taca de Portugal1–2
Famalicão — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga3–0
Estoril Praia — Famalicão · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Estoril Praia1 matches
  • Famalicão1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Estoril Praia

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.58 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.69 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.23 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.63 xG/match
  • Shots11.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.2 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.03 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.39 shots/match
  • Possession53.2%
  • Corners4.42 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.03 corners/match
  • Cards2.6 cards/match
  • Fouls12.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency14%
  • Scoring frequency69%

Famalicão

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.28 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.83 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.32 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.98 xG/match
  • Shots12.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.28 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.56 shots/match
  • Possession51.9%
  • Corners5.53 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.83 corners/match
  • Cards2.62 cards/match
  • Fouls15.6 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency50%
  • Scoring frequency75%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Aug 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEstoril PraiaFamalicão
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headEstoril Praia — Famalicão
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this