This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | CD Nacional | Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 20 shots ▲ | 9 shots |
| Shots on target | 3 shots | 5 shots ▲ |
| Expected goals | 2.08 xG ▲ | 0.82 xG |
| Possession | 59% ● | 41% |
| Corners | 7 corners ● | 4 corners |
| Fouls | 13 fouls | 13 fouls |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
CD Nacional: 20 shots, 3 on target, 2.09 xG. Estoril Praia: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.80 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: CD Nacional 2.09 xG · Estoril Praia 0.80 xG.
Full time
What the match recorded
CD Nacional beat Estoril Praia 2–0. Recorded in this match (CD Nacional – Estoril Praia): shots 20–9, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 2.08–0.82, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- CD Nacional2 matches
- Estoril Praia1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
CD Nacional
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 36 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 28 May 2026
- Goals scored1.11 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.36 goals/match
- Expected goals1.18 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.54 xG/match
- Shots13.1 shots/match
- Shots allowed14.7 shots/match
- Shots on target4.31 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.36 shots/match
- Possession47.2%
- Corners4.42 corners/match
- Corners allowed6.44 corners/match
- Cards3.08 cards/match
- Fouls14.6 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency22%
- Scoring frequency69%
Estoril Praia
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 36 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 28 May 2026
- Goals scored1.58 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.69 goals/match
- Expected goals1.23 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.63 xG/match
- Shots11.8 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.2 shots/match
- Shots on target4.03 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.39 shots/match
- Possession53.2%
- Corners4.42 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.03 corners/match
- Cards2.6 cards/match
- Fouls12.8 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency14%
- Scoring frequency69%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
CD Nacional
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
FC Arouca
Moreirense
Famalicão
Marítimo