Primeira Liga · 2026

Santa Clara 2–2 CD Nacional · Primeira Liga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Santa Clara and CD Nacional drew 2–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.431.23
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Clara and CD Nacional drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Santa Clara – CD Nacional): shots 19–10, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.43–1.23, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsSanta Clara 19 shots, CD Nacional 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsSanta Clara 7 shots, CD Nacional 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG1.23 xGSanta Clara 1.43 xG, CD Nacional 1.23 xG
  • Possession51%49%Santa Clara 51%, CD Nacional 49%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersSanta Clara 4 corners, CD Nacional 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsSanta Clara 15 fouls, CD Nacional 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSanta Clara 2 cards, CD Nacional 2 cards
  • Passes385 passes370 passesSanta Clara 385 passes, CD Nacional 370 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.6%79.2%Santa Clara 81.6%, CD Nacional 79.2%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsSanta Clara 11 shots, CD Nacional 8 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks1 blockSanta Clara 7 blocks, CD Nacional 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesSanta Clara 2 saves, CD Nacional 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideSanta Clara 0 offsides, CD Nacional 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Léo Santos · CD Nacional · 2′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pacheco · Santa Clara · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Santa Clara · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Messias Cardozo · CD Nacional · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSidney Lima · Santa Clara · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWesley Gasolina · CD Nacional · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Messias Cardozo · CD Nacional · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Santa Clara · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Santa Clara · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTiago Ribeiro · Santa Clara · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLucas Soares · Santa Clara · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWesley Gasolina · CD Nacional · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLiziero · CD Nacional · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaniel Borges · Santa Clara · 16′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLéo Santos · CD Nacional · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRildo · Santa Clara · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLéo Santos · CD Nacional · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Borges · Santa Clara · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 42′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Baeza · CD Nacional · 45′ · 0.14 xG · goalGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 19′ · 0.15 xG · goalGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 21′ · 0.18 xG · goalGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 24′ · 0.20 xG · on targetVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 19′ · 0.22 xG · on targetLiziero · CD Nacional · 36′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Santa Clara: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.45 xG. CD Nacional: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 19′Gonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 21′Liziero · CD Nacional · 36′Miguel Baeza · CD Nacional · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Santa Clara 1.45 xG · CD Nacional 1.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Santa Clara
1Draws
1CD Nacional
Santa Clara — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga2–0
CD Nacional — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga3–3
Santa Clara — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga1–0
CD Nacional — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Santa Clara1 matches
  • CD Nacional1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Santa Clara

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored0.97 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.14 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.07 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.01 xG/match
  • Shots11.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.64 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.22 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.47 shots/match
  • Possession48.9%
  • Corners4.75 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.36 corners/match
  • Cards3.22 cards/match
  • Fouls14.6 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency33%
  • Scoring frequency64%

CD Nacional

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.11 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.36 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.18 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.54 xG/match
  • Shots13.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.31 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.36 shots/match
  • Possession47.2%
  • Corners4.42 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.44 corners/match
  • Cards3.08 cards/match
  • Fouls14.6 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency22%
  • Scoring frequency69%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Aug 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4