Primeira Liga · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
40Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC AroucaMoreirense
Shots14 shots 5 shots
Shots on target6 shots 1 shot
Expected goals2.14 xG 0.49 xG
Possession51% 49%
Corners5 corners 3 corners
Fouls10 fouls9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Naïs Djouahra · FC Arouca · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · FC Arouca · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Barbero · FC Arouca · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · FC Arouca · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNile John · Moreirense · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHyun-ju Lee · FC Arouca · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · FC Arouca · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJose Fontán · FC Arouca · 30′ · 0.03 xG · goalMichael Dacosta Gonzalez · Moreirense · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHyun-ju Lee · FC Arouca · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHyun-ju Lee · FC Arouca · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDylan Nandín · FC Arouca · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoão Veloso · Moreirense · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlfonso Trezza · FC Arouca · 13′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMaracás · FC Arouca · 23′ · 0.14 xG · goalAlexandre Parsemain · Moreirense · 19′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAlexandre Parsemain · Moreirense · 43′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJose Fontán · FC Arouca · 30′ · 0.30 xG · on targetDylan Nandín · FC Arouca · 90′ · 0.61 xG · goalIvan Barbero · FC Arouca · 45′ · 0.80 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Arouca: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.30 xG. Moreirense: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Maracás · FC Arouca · 23′Jose Fontán · FC Arouca · 30′Ivan Barbero · FC Arouca · 45′Dylan Nandín · FC Arouca · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Arouca 2.30 xG · Moreirense 0.51 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Arouca beat Moreirense 4–0. Recorded in this match (FC Arouca – Moreirense): shots 14–5, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.14–0.49, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Arouca
0Draws
3Moreirense
MoreirenseFC Arouca · Primeira Liga01
FC AroucaMoreirense · Primeira Liga02
FC AroucaMoreirense · Primeira Liga10
MoreirenseFC Arouca · Primeira Liga31
MoreirenseFC Arouca · Primeira Liga10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC Arouca1 matches
  • Moreirense1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

FC Arouca

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.42 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.81 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.01 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.52 xG/match
  • Shots10.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.2 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.56 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.44 shots/match
  • Possession50.7%
  • Corners3.69 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.17 corners/match
  • Cards3.07 cards/match
  • Fouls13.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency22%
  • Scoring frequency75%

Moreirense

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.08 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.36 goals/match
  • Expected goals0.91 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.54 xG/match
  • Shots9.06 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.9 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.31 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.42 shots/match
  • Possession50.2%
  • Corners3.69 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.64 corners/match
  • Cards2.81 cards/match
  • Fouls13.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency31%
  • Scoring frequency67%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4