League One · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
11Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNotts CountyLeicester City
Shots16 shots 11 shots
Shots on target2 shots2 shots
Expected goals2.27 xG 0.78 xG
Possession31%69%
Corners3 corners5 corners
Fouls15 fouls11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

William Alves · Leicester City · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCallum Roberts · Notts County · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNick Tsaroulla · Notts County · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarius Lipsiuc · Notts County · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum Roberts · Notts County · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJayden Joseph · Leicester City · 62′ · 0.03 xG · goalNick Tsaroulla · Notts County · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDean Campbell · Notts County · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCallum Roberts · Notts County · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJames Gibbons · Notts County · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuka Smyth · Notts County · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJayden Joseph · Leicester City · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTom Watson · Leicester City · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSammy Braybrooke · Leicester City · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJack Evans · Notts County · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ness · Notts County · 51′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 19′ · 0.14 xG · on targetHarry Souttar · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTom Watson · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOliver Cooper · Notts County · 6′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDarius Lipsiuc · Notts County · 68′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedCallum Roberts · Notts County · 55′ · 0.31 xG · on targetEmile Acquah · Notts County · 81′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedConor Grant · Notts County · 81′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Notts County: 16 shots, 2 on target, 2.32 xG. Leicester City: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Conor Grant · Notts County · 81′Jayden Joseph · Leicester City · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Notts County 2.32 xG · Leicester City 0.90 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Notts County and Leicester City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Notts County – Leicester City): shots 16–11, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 2.27–0.78, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Notts County1 matches
  • Leicester City1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Notts County

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Leicester City

Competition
Championship
Season
2025/26
Sample
46 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.26 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.48 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.17 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
  • Shots12.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.9 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.16 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.02 shots/match
  • Possession51.6%
  • Corners5.2 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.93 corners/match
  • Fouls10.7 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency13%
  • Scoring frequency80%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
Notts County 1–1 Leicester City — Match Stats & Analysis | PitchMath