League One · 2026

Leicester City 1–2 Burton Albion · League One

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Burton Albion won 1–2.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.10.71
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Burton Albion beat Leicester City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Leicester City – Burton Albion): shots 13–13, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.1–0.71, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsLeicester City 13 shots, Burton Albion 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsLeicester City 3 shots, Burton Albion 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG0.71 xGLeicester City 1.1 xG, Burton Albion 0.71 xG
  • Possession74%26%Leicester City 74%, Burton Albion 26%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersLeicester City 5 corners, Burton Albion 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls19 foulsLeicester City 13 fouls, Burton Albion 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsLeicester City 1 card, Burton Albion 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jack Armer · Burton Albion · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWill Collar · Burton Albion · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetToby Sibbick · Burton Albion · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Cullen · Leicester City · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Alves · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Webster · Burton Albion · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLouis Page · Leicester City · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Watson · Leicester City · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Alves · Leicester City · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Webster · Burton Albion · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOlabade Aluko · Leicester City · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Webster · Burton Albion · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSammy Braybrooke · Leicester City · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Webster · Burton Albion · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCharlie Webster · Burton Albion · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Watson · Leicester City · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatthew Dennis · Burton Albion · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Souttar · Leicester City · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Souttar · Leicester City · 15′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKgagelo Chauke · Burton Albion · 25′ · 0.08 xG · goalMatthew Dennis · Burton Albion · 5′ · 0.09 xG · goalHarry Howell · Leicester City · 64′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCharlie Webster · Burton Albion · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatthew Dennis · Burton Albion · 25′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedWes Burns · Leicester City · 42′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG. Burton Albion: 13 shots, 6 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Wes Burns · Leicester City · 42′Matthew Dennis · Burton Albion · 5′Kgagelo Chauke · Burton Albion · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 1.13 xG · Burton Albion 0.72 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

Leicester City / Burton Albion

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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