League One · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
11Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBurton AlbionStevenage
Shots10 shots 5 shots
Shots on target2 shots3 shots
Expected goals0.94 xG 0.51 xG
Possession52% 48%
Corners2 corners 0 corners
Fouls14 fouls17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Toby Sibbick · Burton Albion · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKyran Lofthouse · Burton Albion · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Tilt · Burton Albion · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Reid · Stevenage · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatthew Dennis · Burton Albion · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOliver Sanderson · Stevenage · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJack Armer · Burton Albion · 74′ · 0.04 xG · goalCharlie Webster · Burton Albion · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKgagelo Chauke · Burton Albion · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuther James-Wildin · Stevenage · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKgagelo Chauke · Burton Albion · 58′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Webster · Burton Albion · 27′ · 0.23 xG · on targetOliver Sanderson · Stevenage · 90′ · 0.31 xG · goalMatthew Dennis · Burton Albion · 47′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Burton Albion: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.92 xG. Stevenage: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.46 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jack Armer · Burton Albion · 74′Oliver Sanderson · Stevenage · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Burton Albion 0.92 xG · Stevenage 0.46 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Burton Albion and Stevenage drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Burton Albion – Stevenage): shots 10–5, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.94–0.51, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

2Burton Albion
2Draws
1Stevenage
Burton AlbionStevenage · League One01
StevenageBurton Albion · League One22
StevenageBurton Albion · League One01
Burton AlbionStevenage · League One00
StevenageBurton Albion · League One12

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4