League One · 2026

Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United · League One

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Oxford United won 1–2.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
11.24
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oxford United beat Stevenage 2–1. Recorded in this match (Stevenage – Oxford United): shots 14–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1–1.24, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsStevenage 14 shots, Oxford United 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsStevenage 3 shots, Oxford United 5 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG1.24 xGStevenage 1 xG, Oxford United 1.24 xG
  • Possession45%55%Stevenage 45%, Oxford United 55%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersStevenage 6 corners, Oxford United 6 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls22 foulsStevenage 22 fouls, Oxford United 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsStevenage 1 card, Oxford United 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Siriki Dembélé · Oxford United · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Freestone · Stevenage · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDaniel Kemp · Stevenage · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarl Piergianni · Stevenage · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarl Piergianni · Stevenage · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTerence Vancooten · Stevenage · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAidomo Emakhu · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSiriki Dembélé · Oxford United · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPeter Kioso · Oxford United · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLouie Sibley · Oxford United · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPeter Kioso · Oxford United · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaxon Earley · Stevenage · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Freestone · Stevenage · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Kemp · Stevenage · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Magennis · Stevenage · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSiriki Dembélé · Oxford United · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLouie Sibley · Oxford United · 26′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAidomo Emakhu · Oxford United · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGatlin O'Donkor · Oxford United · 67′ · 0.06 xG · goalDaniel Kemp · Stevenage · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Magennis · Stevenage · 6′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJordan Roberts · Stevenage · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalJamie Reid · Stevenage · 51′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDaniel Kemp · Stevenage · 51′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 87′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stevenage: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.00 xG. Oxford United: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jordan Roberts · Stevenage · 90′Gatlin O'Donkor · Oxford United · 67′Cameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stevenage 1.00 xG · Oxford United 1.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stevenage
1Draws
1Oxford United
Oxford United — Stevenage · League One1–1
Stevenage — Oxford United · League One1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

Stevenage / Oxford United

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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