Luton Town 2–2 Notts County — Match Stats & Analysis

League One · 2026Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 11:30 UTC

Luton Town

2–2Full-time analysis

Notts County

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Luton Town and Notts County drew 2–2.

Shots: 146
Shots on target: 44
Expected goals: 1.930.79
Possession: 58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Luton Town and Notts County drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Luton Town – Notts County): shots 14–6, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.93–0.79, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

Shots14 shots6 shotsLuton Town 14 shots, Notts County 6 shots
Shots on target4 shots4 shotsLuton Town 4 shots, Notts County 4 shots
Expected goals1.93 xG0.79 xGLuton Town 1.93 xG, Notts County 0.79 xG
Possession58%42%Luton Town 58%, Notts County 42%
Corners8 corners3 cornersLuton Town 8 corners, Notts County 3 corners
Fouls15 fouls18 foulsLuton Town 15 fouls, Notts County 18 fouls
Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsLuton Town 5 cards, Notts County 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Luton Town: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.97 xG. Notts County: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Luton Town 1.97 xG · Notts County 0.80 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Rest before fixture · Both teams: 7 days
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples2 / 2home / away teams

Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4