PitchMath
UEFA Europa League · 2026

FC Thun 2–2 Lech Poznań · UEFA Europa League

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Thun and Lech Poznań drew 2–2.

Shots on target
33
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Thun and Lech Poznan drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FC Thun – Lech Poznan): shots on target 3–3, possession 39%–61%, corners 6–3, fouls 21–12. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Lech Poznan have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionFC Thun · Lech Poznan● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC ThunLech PoznanBaseline
Possession42%57%52%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsFC Thun 3 shots, Lech Poznań 3 shots
  • Possession39%61%FC Thun 39%, Lech Poznań 61%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersFC Thun 6 corners, Lech Poznań 3 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls12 foulsFC Thun 21 fouls, Lech Poznań 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsFC Thun 2 cards, Lech Poznań 3 cards
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksFC Thun 3 blocks, Lech Poznań 2 blocks
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideFC Thun 1 offside, Lech Poznań 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Thun
0Draws
1Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań — FC Thun · UEFA Europa League7–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Thun favored in 0 of 7 directional metrics · Lech Poznań in 0 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Thun3 matchesLech Poznań3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 4.67 goals/match
4 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 7.67 shots/match
42%Possession3/3● 57%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.67 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Europa League

Goals per match rankingShots on target per match rankingShare of matches scored in ranking
TeamsFC ThunLech Poznań
CompetitionUEFA Europa League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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