Belgian Pro League · 2025

RAAL La Louvière 1–2 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FCV Dender won 1–2.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.62.09
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

FCV Dender beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – FCV Dender): shots 15–14, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.6–2.09, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FCV Dender have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.3%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · FCV Dender● 46.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreFCV DenderBaseline
Possession35.3%46.8%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsRAAL La Louvière 15 shots, FCV Dender 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsRAAL La Louvière 4 shots, FCV Dender 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG2.09 xGRAAL La Louvière 1.6 xG, FCV Dender 2.09 xG
  • Possession50%50%RAAL La Louvière 50%, FCV Dender 50%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersRAAL La Louvière 5 corners, FCV Dender 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsRAAL La Louvière 9 fouls, FCV Dender 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

David Toshevski · FCV Dender · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Beka Beka · RAAL La Louvière · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJunior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ · FCV Dender · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOwen Maes · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Beka Beka · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Beka Beka · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNoah Mbamba · FCV Dender · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOwen Maes · RAAL La Louvière · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlireza Jahanbakhsh · FCV Dender · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlireza Jahanbakhsh · FCV Dender · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 73′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 6′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 59′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 85′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 6′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 52′ · 0.50 xG · goalPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 32′ · 0.55 xG · goalBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 11′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RAAL La Louvière: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.58 xG. FCV Dender: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Pape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 32′Bruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 11′Roman Kvet · FCV Dender · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RAAL La Louvière 1.58 xG · FCV Dender 2.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RAAL La Louvière
1Draws
0FCV Dender
FCV Dender — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière19 matchesFCV Dender17 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored19/17▲ 0.82 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed19/171.59 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.06 xG/match
9.74 shots/matchShots19/17▲ 10.4 shots/match
2.53 shots/matchShots on target19/17▲ 3.76 shots/match
35.3%Possession19/17● 46.8%
4.21 corners/match ●Corners19/173.12 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1710.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 5 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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