Belgian Pro League · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Lommel SK

WWWW

3–1Historical match

K. Beerschot V.A.

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lommel SK	K. Beerschot V.A.
Shots	9 shots	13 shots ▲
Shots on target	5 shots ▲	4 shots
Possession	47%	53% ●
Corners	4 corners	6 corners ●
Fouls	13 fouls	12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lommel SK: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.51 xG. K. Beerschot V.A.: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lommel SK 0.51 xG · K. Beerschot V.A. 0.46 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Lommel SK beat K. Beerschot V.A. 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lommel SK – K. Beerschot V.A.): shots 9–13, shots on target 5–4, possession 47%–53%, corners 4–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

K. Beerschot V.A. have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.7%PossessionLommel SK · K. Beerschot V.A.● 65%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Lommel SK	K. Beerschot V.A.	Baseline
Possession	44.7%	65%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lommel SK.

4.98 days ▲Rest daysLommel SK · K. Beerschot V.A.4.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Lommel SK	K. Beerschot V.A.	Baseline
Rest days	4.98 days	4.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	4 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lommel SK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lommel SK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLommel SK · K. Beerschot V.A.15.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Lommel SK	K. Beerschot V.A.	Baseline
Shots	10.3 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	13.1 shots/match
Shots against	12.2 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Season: Lommel SK favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · K. Beerschot V.A. in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lommel SK6 matchesK. Beerschot V.A.3 matches

2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/31.33 goals/match

0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/32 goals/match

10.3 shots/matchShots6/3▲ 15.3 shots/match

5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/34 shots/match

44.7%Possession6/3● 65%

3.67 corners/matchCorners6/3● 5 corners/match

9.33 fouls/matchFouls6/310.3 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lommel SK12.5

K. Beerschot V.A.95.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lommel SK65.8

K. Beerschot V.A.50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lommel SK85.8

K. Beerschot V.A.50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lommel SK22.5

K. Beerschot V.A.30.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lommel SK2.5

K. Beerschot V.A.20.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lommel SK2.5

K. Beerschot V.A.55.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lommel SK26.2

K. Beerschot V.A.47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Rest before fixture · Both teams: 4.98 days

4 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples6 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4